Foundations for Statistical Inference

Study Design, Inference using randomization and the Normal Model

Learning Path

Where we’ve been

  • Learning how to explore and visualize our data.
  • Visually consider patterns, identify potential relationships

Where we’re at

  • Think about how data come to be. That is, if the data are to be used to make broad and complete conclusions, then it is important to understand who or what the data represent.
    • Knowing how the observational units were selected will allow for generalizations back to the population from which the data were selected.
    • By understanding the structure of the study, causal relationships can be separated from those relationships which are only associated.
  • Revisiting null value hypothesis testing (NVHT) from a randomization perspective
  • Revisiting the Normal distribution model, and getting a feel for how probability (and thus p-values) are calculated.

Objectives

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Identify and distinguish between a parameter and a statistic

Describe multiple sampling methods

Identify if a causal statement can be made given a data collection method

Explain how to test a hypothsis using randomization

Assess a research question using a hypothesis test

Use the Normal distribution to calculate a probability

Describe the concept of sampling variability

Calculate the mean and sd of the sampling distribution based on population parameters

Explain the Central Limit Theorem

Construct and Interpret a confidence interval in context of the problem

Use a confidence interval to make an inferential hypothesis statement

Outline & connected parts for the next 2 weeks

  • M Study design
    • Jigsaw learning directly in collab notes in class
    • Finish Part 1 of HW06 before Monday
  • W Statistical inference using randomization
    • Case study (lec06a) activity
  • M Statistical inference using mathematical models (lec06b)
    • Sampling Distributions, LLN, CLT (in class activity)
    • The Normal model (Calculating probabilities)
  • W Finish lec06b
    • Interval estimates
    • Hypothesis testing

Learning Materials

Slides (Will open in full screen. Right click to open in a new tab)

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📚 Reading

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📝 Active Learning

We will be using the Jigsaw technique, which is a method of learning by teaching. You have been assigned (possibly with a partner) to read and summarize one section in the textbook.

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In class printed activity.

Assessment

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